Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants projection, 2026-09-27
The model gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a 67% chance of beating the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park, with a projected score of LAD 6.2, SF 4.1 and about 10.3 total runs. There is a 25% chance the game is decided by one run.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have not named a starter yet, so their side uses a generic starter until one is announced. The San Francisco Giants have not named a starter yet, so their side uses a generic starter until one is announced.
LAD's bullpen has 100% of its usual relief work rested (25 weighted pitches over the last three days). SF's bullpen has 100% of its usual relief work rested (22 weighted pitches over the last three days).
Oracle Park plays 5% below an average park for runs; first-pitch forecast is 60°F with 9 mph wind.
By the model's breakdown, for LAD the biggest factor is opposing starter (+17% to their expected runs) and for SF the biggest factor is opposing starter (+17% to their expected runs).
| Win probability | LAD 67% · SF 33% |
|---|---|
| Projected score | LAD 6.2 – 4.1 SF |
| Projected total runs | 10.3 |
| One-run game | 25% |
| LAD starter | starter not announced |
| SF starter | starter not announced |
| Ballpark | Oracle Park (run factor -4.9%) |