MLB run environment
How many runs each game projects to, and why.
Slate for 2026-10-11: 1 game, model updated 2026-10-11 15:22 UTC.
| Game | Projected total | Ballpark | Weather | Plate umpire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers | 7.2 | American Family Field (-2.8% runs) | 69°F, wind 5 mph | TBD |
The projected total is the sum of both teams' expected runs from the run model. Park factors are multi-year and regressed; temperature and the wind component blowing toward centre field adjust scoring; umpire effects are regressed toward zero by sample size.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.