Houston Astros at Athletics projection, 2026-09-27

The model gives the Houston Astros a 55% chance of beating the Athletics at Sutter Health Park, with a projected score of HOU 6.3, ATH 5.4 and about 11.7 total runs. There is a 24% chance the game is decided by one run.

The Houston Astros have not named a starter yet, so their side uses a generic starter until one is announced. The Athletics have not named a starter yet, so their side uses a generic starter until one is announced.

HOU's bullpen has 100% of its usual relief work rested (50 weighted pitches over the last three days). ATH's bullpen has 100% of its usual relief work rested (44 weighted pitches over the last three days).

Sutter Health Park plays 12% above an average park for runs; first-pitch forecast is 69°F with 5 mph wind.

By the model's breakdown, for HOU the biggest factor is opposing starter (+17% to their expected runs) and for ATH the biggest factor is opposing starter (+17% to their expected runs).

Houston Astros · Athletics