AJ Blubaugh projection

AJ Blubaugh (RHP, HOU) projects to strike out 24.2% of batters, walk or hit 10.6% and allow home runs to 3.20%, working about 4.5 innings per start.

2026 season: 0 starts, 96 innings, 94 strikeouts, 45 walks + HBP, 13 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.279, CSW 27.022%.

Whiff rate 30%, barrels allowed 10.4%, hard-hit rate 42.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (625 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.84. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page.

Next start: 2026-09-29 vs CWS