Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox: AL Wild Card Series preview
Postseason backtest 2022–2025 (walk-forward): 171 games, 53.8% winners, Brier 0.2547 against 0.25 for a coin flip — no better than a 50/50 guess. Full postseason backtest.
Houston Astros (3 seed, 81-81) vs Chicago White Sox (6 seed, 84-78), best of 3. Houston Astros 60% to win the series; expected length 2.49 games.
| Game | Home | Starters (rotation order) | HOU win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | HOU | Hunter Brown vs Sean Newcomb | 62% |
| Game 2 | HOU | Peter Lambert vs Sean Burke | 52% |
| Game 3 | HOU | Hayden Wesneski vs Davis Martin | 56% |