Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves: NL Division Series preview

Postseason backtest 2022–2025 (walk-forward): 171 games, 53.8% winners, Brier 0.2547 against 0.25 for a coin flip — no better than a 50/50 guess. Full postseason backtest.

Los Angeles Dodgers (2 seed, 100-62) vs Atlanta Braves (3 seed, 94-68), best of 5. Los Angeles Dodgers 70% to win the series; expected length 4.05 games.

GameHomeStarters (rotation order)LAD win
Game 1LADTarik Skubal vs Chris Sale59%
Game 2LADYoshinobu Yamamoto vs Tyler Mahle65%
Game 3ATLBlake Snell vs Grant Holmes59%
Game 4ATLTyler Glasnow vs Martín Pérez62%
Game 5LADTarik Skubal vs Chris Sale59%

Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves · Bracket

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